Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Nov 22, 2026 2.30pm
WWK Arena

Augsburg vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 5 - 2 Augsburg
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Michael Gregoritsch

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 2.30pm
Mainz 1 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Augsburg has a probability of 31.14% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Augsburg win is 2-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.65%).

Result

Augsburg 31.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Mainz 05 44.5% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.12%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 58.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 63.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 21.99% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 78.01% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Augsburg 27.2%
Draw 35.83%
Mainz 05 36.97%

Team To Score First

Augsburg 43.07% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Mainz 05 51.48% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64%
Equal 8 10.3%
Under 8 25.7%
Over 9 52.99%
Equal 9 11.01%
Under 9 36%
Over 10.5 42.16%
Under 10.5 57.84%

Augsburg Goals

Over 1.5 36.01%
Under 1.5 63.99%
Over 2.5 14.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 76.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 23.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 47.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 52.5% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 22.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 77.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 9.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 90.38% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Augsburg 31.13%
Draw 24.4%
Mainz 05 44.49%
Augsburg
2-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 31.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.4%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-1 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.41%
1-3 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 44.49%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Nadiem Amiri 8' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 8' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 63' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 80' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 80' yellowcard
  • Kacper Potulski 81' yellowcard
  • Phillipp Mwene 81' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 81' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 81' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 88' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cédric Zesiger 46'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Jakic 57'
  • yellowcard Anton Kade 57'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ribeiro 57'
  • yellowcard Alexis Claude-Maurice 60'
  • yellowcard Anton Kade 78'
  • yellowcard Fabian Rieder 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT WWK Arena
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 18' yellowcard
  • Samuel Essende 83' goal
  • goal Kaishu Sano 14'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 16'
  • goal Dominik Kohr 26'
  • redcard Dominik Kohr 53'
  • goal Paul Nebel 60'
  • goal Armindo Sieb 69'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Moritz Jenz 8' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 34' yellowcard
  • Maxim Leitsch 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Essende 43'
  • yellowcard Cedric Zesiger 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT WWK Arena
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 25' goal
  • Samuel Essende 57' goal
  • Samuel Essende 70' redcard
  • Frank Onyeka 84' yellowcard
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 90'+11' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Armindo Sieb 13'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 15'
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 28'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 33'
  • redcard Nadiem Amiri 35'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 49'
  • yellowcard Bo Henriksen 56'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 90'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Lee Jae-sung 35' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 43' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finn Dahmen 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 90'+8'
  • redcard Mads Pedersen 90'+12'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT WWK Arena
  • Ermedin Demirovic 15' goal
  • Ermedin Demirovic 45' goal
  • Arne Engels 62' redcard
  • Niklas Dorsch 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dion Beljo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 6'
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 74'
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 77'
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 90'+7'