Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Hristo Botev
  • Asen Chandarov 18' goal
  • Lukas Petkov 28' yellowcard
  • Emil Tsenov 35' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Barreiro 37'
  • yellowcard Tomás Cruz 45'+2'
  • goal Vincent Thill 65'
  • yellowcard Dirk Carlson 83'

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions

Luxembourg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Bulgaria 29.42% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 25.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Luxembourg 44.91% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.99%
Under 2.5 52.01%
Over 3.5 26.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.46% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Bulgaria 22.89%
Draw 43.04%
Luxembourg 34.07%

Team To Score First

Bulgaria 38.39% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Luxembourg 52.74% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 37.94%
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 50.88%
Over 9 28.19%
Equal 9 9.75%
Under 9 62.06%
Over 10.5 20.31%
Under 10.5 79.69%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 1.5 29.46% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 70.54% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 11.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.1% ▼ (-0.05)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 72.85% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 27.15% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 41.22% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 58.78% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 18.41% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 81.59% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.23% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Bulgaria 29.42%
Draw 25.71%
Luxembourg 44.91%
Bulgaria
1-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 29.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.71%
Luxembourg
0-1 @ 11.4% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 44.91%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 15, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • Florian Bohnert 58' yellowcard
  • Laurent Jans 61' yellowcard
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 84' yellowcard
  • goal Andrian Kraev 23'
  • yellowcard Kiril Despodov 28'
  • yellowcard Georgi Milanov 43'
  • yellowcard Vasil Panayotov 53'
Nations League
Oct 12, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Hristo Botev
  • Aleksandar Kolev 4' yellowcard
  • Valentin Antov 20' yellowcard
  • Alex Petkov 45' yellowcard
  • Zhivko Atanasov 51' yellowcard
  • Fabian Nurnberger 60' yellowcard
  • Georgi Kostadinov 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Curci 18'
  • yellowcard Marvin da Graca 28'
  • yellowcard Christopher Martins Pereira 36'
  • yellowcard Dirk Carlson 38'
  • yellowcard Florian Bohnert 51'
  • yellowcard Gerson Rodrigues 64'
International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Josy Barthel
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 10, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Olivier Thill 3' goal
  • goal Ivailo Chochev 68'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 6, 2016 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dimitar Rangelov 16' goal
  • Marcelino 65' goal
  • Ivelin Popov 79' goal
  • Aleksandar Tonev 92' goal
  • goal Aurelien Joachim 60'
  • goal Aurelien Joachim 62'
  • goal Florian Bohnert 91'