/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbullog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Festlog.png)
-
Dimitar Velkovski
9'
-
Borislav Tsonev
37'
-
Kristian Dimitrov
89'
-
Maksim Paskotsi
48'
-
Patrik Kristal
89'
Bulgaria vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F06%2Faleksandar-dimitrov-vs-georgia-18-november-2025-yulian-todorov-6a1f0e2909088516390622.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Estonia win was 0-1 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result
Bulgaria
43.58%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
25.02%
▲
(+0.08)
Estonia
31.44%
▼
(-0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
48.29%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.72%
Under 1.5
27.28%
Over 2.5
48.91%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
51.09%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
25.82%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
74.18%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 4.5
14.81%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
85.19%
▲
(+0.08)
First Half Winner
Bulgaria
30.14%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
45.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Estonia
24.42%
▲
(+0.06)
Team To Score First
Bulgaria
44.84%
▲
(+0.14)
No Goal
8.16%
▲
(+0.02)
Estonia
47%
▼
(-0.15)
Corners
Over 8
39.4%
▲
(+0.15)
Equal 8
10.97%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 8
49.62%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 9
29.71%
▲
(+0.11)
Equal 9
9.7%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 9
60.6%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 10.5
21.76%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 10.5
78.24%
▼
(-0.08)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 1.5
39.95%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
60.05%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
17.62%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
82.38%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
6.01%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
93.99%
▼
(-0.04)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5
63.73%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
36.27%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
30.84%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
69.16%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 2.5
11.6%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
88.4%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
3.7%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
96.3%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Bulgaria
43.58%
Draw
25.02%
Estonia
31.42%
Bulgaria
1-0
@
10.8%
▲
(+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 43.58%
2-1 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 43.58%
Draw
1-1
@
11.55%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.02%
0-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.02%
Estonia
0-1
@
8.34%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 31.42%
1-2 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 31.42%