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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 13, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Reims

Brest
2 - 1
Reims

Honorat (30'), Mounie (77')
Herelle (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zeneli (65')
Munetsi (51')

Preview: Brest vs. Reims - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brest take on Reims in Ligue 1 on Sunday with the hosts looking for a fourth win in five matches.

Reims, meanwhile, are languishing in the bottom three having failed to win any of their last four matches.


Match preview

Brest coach Olivier Dall'Oglio pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Indeed, Brest are flying high in the form table at present, with three wins in their last four matches lifting them to 12th in the table overall.

Olivier Dall'Aglio's side suffered a disappointing 1-0 defeat at Bordeaux last weekend, though, with former Newcastle United winger Hatem Ben Arfa's late strike enough to earn Bordeaux three points, taking them above Brest in the process.

However, having been 14th in their first season back in the top-flight since the 2012-13 campaign last term before all French football was curtailed due to the coronavirus pandemic, it has still been a very good start to Brest's season.

With six points separating themselves and their forthcoming opponents in the bottom three, Dall'Aglio will be urging his side to put some clear daylight between themselves and the danger zone.

Boulaye Dia pictured for Reims in August 2020© Reuters

Having qualified for European football for the first time in 57 years by virtue of being sixth in the table prior to the curtailment of last season, it has been quite the comedown this time around for Reims.

Dumped out of the Europa League at the third qualifying stage by Hungarian side Fehervar, David Guion's side have sunk to the bottom three in recent weeks after a winless run of four matches.

Indeed, an over-reliance on Boulaye Dia has come to the fore in recent weeks, with Guion's side failing to score in their last three matches, including in last weekend's 0-0 draw against Nice.

The French forward has registered an impressive tally of eight league goals in his 10 starts, but Ba is the only Reims player to have more than one goal to his name in Ligue 1 this season. Guion must find a way for all of his side to start chipping in, otherwise moving out of the relegation zone is going to prove a difficult task.

Brest Ligue 1 form: LLWWWL

Reims Ligue 1 form: WWDLLD


Team News

Reims manager David Guion pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Brest remain without central defender Denys Bain, who is still recovering from his cruciate ligament rupture.

Otherwise, Dall'Aglio appears to have a clean bill of health to choose from, with forward Irvin Cardona looking to return to goalscoring ways having blanked in the defeat at Bordeaux after scoring in all three of Brest's prior successive victories.

Reims are struggling more on the injury front, with Anastasios Donis (muscle), Ghislain Konan (back) and Arber Zeneli (muscle) all unavailable for the trip to Brest.

After scoring four times in a crazy draw at Lens last month, Guion will be hoping his side can rediscover their goalscoring touch having blanked in the last three matches.

Brest possible starting lineup:
Larsonneur; Pierre-Gabriel, Chardonnet, Duverne, Perraud; Honorat, Belkebla, Lasne, Faivre; Mounie, Cardona

Reims possible starting lineup:
Rajkovic; Foket, Faes, Abdelhamid, Konan; Munetsi, Berisha; Cafaro, Zeneli, Doumbia; Ba


SM words green background

We say: Brest 2-1 Reims

We expect a closely fought affair between two evenly matched sides, but Brest look to have more players capable of scoring goals at present, which could give them the edge.

Indeed, Dall'Aglio's side have taken 12 points from six home games this season, so should have enough to get the job done.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier30910113842-436
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3094172848-2031
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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