Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sport Recife	Draw	Internacional
32.29% ( 0.27)	26.51% ( 0.03)	41.2% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.08% (

-0.06)

52.92% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47% (

-0.05)

74.52% (

0.05)

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

0.16)

30.6% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

0.18)

66.83% (

-0.19)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

-0.18)

25.33% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

-0.25)

60.11% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Sport Recife 32.29%

Internacional 41.2%

Draw 26.5%

Sport Recife	Draw	Internacional
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.29%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 41.2%