Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.