Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Oct 24, 2026 11.30pm
Arena Condá

Chapecoense vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 10.00pm
Botafogo 1 - 0 Chapecoense
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Marcinho

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 8.00pm
Fluminense 1 - 2 Santos
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Chapecoense has a probability of 30% and a draw has a probability of 28.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Chapecoense win is 1-0 (9.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.01%).

Result

Chapecoense 30% ▼ (-0.81)
Draw 28.22% ▲ (+0.26)
Fluminense 41.75% ▲ (+0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.48% ▼ (-0.85)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 54.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 23.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 76.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 87.67% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Chapecoense 25.7% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 46.83% ▲ (+0.19)
Fluminense 27.48% ▼ (-0.47)

Team To Score First

Chapecoense 43.44% ▲ (+0.80)
No Goal 8.83% ▲ (+0.24)
Fluminense 47.73% ▼ (-1.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.1% ▲ (+1.49)
Equal 8 11.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 30.74% ▼ (-1.52)
Over 9 46.72% ▲ (+1.33)
Equal 9 11.39% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 41.9% ▼ (-1.49)
Over 10.5 36.02% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 10.5 63.98% ▼ (-1.09)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 1.5 29.55% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 70.45% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 9.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 90.04% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.35% ▼ (-0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 72.88% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 27.12% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 38.63% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 61.37% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 2.5 15.25% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 2.5 84.75% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 4.75% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 95.25% ▼ (-0.24)

Score analysis

Chapecoense 30%
Draw 28.21%
Fluminense 41.74%
Chapecoense
1-0 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.20)
2-1 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 30%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 28.21%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 11.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 41.74%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Yeferson Soteldo 46' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 56' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 79' yellowcard
  • Alisson 79' yellowcard
  • Ganso 79' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 86' goal
  • Ignácio 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton 34'
  • yellowcard Carvalheira 46'
  • yellowcard Ênio 70'
  • yellowcard João Vitor 70'
  • goal Ênio 78'
  • yellowcard Neto Pessoa 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Braz 45'+2' yellowcard
  • David Braz 49' goal
  • Matheus Martins 49' yellowcard
  • Luiz Henrique 59' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 90'+1' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 90'+2' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ignacio 5'
  • yellowcard Ronei 45'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Sep 8, 2021 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Perotti 61' goal
  • goal Raul Bobadilla 10'
  • goal Luiz Henrique 18'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Oct 26, 2019 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Marcos Paulo 52' goal
  • Allan 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauricio Ramos 21'
  • goal Everaldo Stum 27'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 45'
  • yellowcard Eduardo 75'
  • yellowcard Henrique Almeida 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 14, 2019 12.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Everaldo 3' goal
  • Everaldo 67' yellowcard
  • Camilo 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Juliao 45'
  • yellowcard Allan Souza 49'
  • goal Ganso 59'
  • yellowcard Ganso 67'
  • yellowcard Mascarenhas 72'
  • yellowcard Ewandro 85'
  • yellowcard Yuri Lima 86'
  • redcard Allan 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 25, 2018 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Leandro Pereira 32' yellowcard
  • Douglas 75' yellowcard
  • Leandro Pereira 79' goal
  • Douglas 80' redcard
  • Diego Torres 93' yellowcard
  • goal Everaldo 11'
  • goal Junior Sornoza 36'
  • yellowcard Jadson 46'
  • yellowcard Julio Cesar 70'
  • yellowcard Airton 82'