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Bournemouth logo
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Dean Court
Birmingham logo

Bournemouth
3 - 1
Birmingham

Christie (17'), Solanke (31'), Anthony (76')
Lerma (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hernandez (69')
Gardner (20'), Pedersen (34'), Graham (47'), Hernandez (69'), Sunjic (90+4')

Preview: Bournemouth vs. Birmingham City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After being the victim of a FA Cup upset on Sunday, Bournemouth will turn their focus back to their promotion challenge on Wednesday when they play host to Birmingham City.

Meanwhile, the visitors will be aiming to pile more misery upon their hosts as they seek to end a three-game winless run.


Match preview

Bournemouth manager Scott Parker on January 15, 2022© Reuters

It would be fair to assume that Scott Parker and his players will be wanting to quickly forget the FA Cup defeat to National League side Boreham Wood.

A Mark Ricketts strike proved to be enough to guide Boreham Wood to a huge cup upset at the Vitality Stadium on Sunday.

The Cherries do not have much time to dwell on that defeat though, as they return to league action on Wednesday looking to win at home for the first time this calendar year.

Bournemouth enter the midweek encounter in third position and sit just a point adrift of the automatic promotion places, with the advantage of two games in hand over second-placed Blackburn Rovers.

Having won just once in their last five home fixtures in all competitions, Parker will be fully aware that results at the Vitality Stadium need to improve if the Cherries are to move into the top two.

Birmingham City manager Lee Bowyer on February 4, 2022© Reuters

As for Birmingham, they may sit in 18th place, but there is a 13-point cushion between them and the drop zone.

Although a relegation battle is unlikely, Lee Bowyer will be concerned with the fact that his side have won once in their last 10 league games.

Following consecutive 2-2 draws, Birmingham ended up on the wrong side of a 2-1 scoreline on Friday when they welcomed Sheffield United to St Andrew's.

In that contest, Lyle Taylor put the Blues in front in the 61st minute, but that lead last just three minutes with Billy Sharp levelling before Jayden Bogle grabbed the winner for Sheffield United.

Bowyer will be looking for a response from his side in midweek, although no victory in their last seven away games suggests that Birmingham face an uphill task on Wednesday.

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Bournemouth form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Birmingham City Championship form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Bournemouth?s Emiliano Marcondes celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 8, 2022© Reuters

A number of first-team regulars were rested on Sunday, with Parker set to make a number of changes from the side that started in the FA Cup fourth round against Boreham Wood.

Freddie Woodman, Nat Phillips and Todd Cantwell all featured in some capacity against Boreham Wood to debut for the Cherries and the trio could all start Wednesday's contest.

Siriki Dembele and Kieffer Moore also joined Bournemouth in January and the pair could be on the bench against Birmingham.

Meanwhile, the visitors are without Tahith Chong, Troy Deeney, Taylor Richards due to injury issues.

After joining on loan from Nottingham Forest, Taylor has already endeared himself to the Blues faithful, having scored in both of his first two games for Birmingham.

Despite losing against Sheffield United, Bowyer could name an unchanged lineup for the trip to the South Coast on Wednesday.

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Woodman; Stacey, Phillips, Kelly, Zemura; Lerma, Billing, Cantwell; Christie, Anthony, Solanke

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Colin, Mengi, Roberts, Pedersen; Bacuna, Woods, Gardner, Hernandez; Hogan, Taylor


SM words green background

We say: Bournemouth 2-1 Birmingham City

Although Bournemouth's form has dipped in recent weeks, we think that they should have enough quality in their squad to claim a victory over a Birmingham side that tend to struggle on the road.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



ID:477530:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9029:
Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Birmingham

Bournemouth
88.3%
Draw
5.2%
Birmingham City
6.5%
77
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Norwich City's Todd Cantwell during the warm up before the match, September 18, 2021
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