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Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Bilino Polje
Poland national football team

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 2
Poland

Hajradinovic (24' pen.)
Hadziahmetovic (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Glik (45'), Grosicki (67')
Bednarek (24'), Milik (82')

Preview: Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Poland - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's UEFA Nations League clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Poland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Bosnia-Herzegovina will be looking to build on their impressive result against Italy on Friday night when they continue their UEFA Nations League campaign at home to Poland on Monday.

Dusan Bajevic's side picked up a 1-1 draw against the Italians in their competition opener, while Poland suffered a 1-0 defeat to the Netherlands to sit bottom of League A Group 1.


Match preview

Italy's Lorenzo Insigne in action with Bosnia-Herzegovina's Gojko Cimirot in the UEFA Nations League on September 4, 2020© Reuters

Bosnia have a tough task when it comes to making a serious impression in this group, and head coach Bajevic recently said that the team's main task was to "stay in League A".

The Dragons might now be eyeing a spot further up the section, though, having picked up an impressive result away to Italy in their competition opener on Friday night.

Edin Dzeko sent Bosnia into a 1-0 lead in the 57th minute of the contest before Stefano Sensi levelled 10 minutes later as the points were shared in a 1-1 draw.

Bajevic's side will be looking for another positive result ahead of their next two games in the competition at home to the Netherlands and away to Poland in October.

More importantly, though, the national side are bidding to qualify for next summer's European Championships and will take on Northern Ireland in the semi-finals of the playoffs next month ahead of a potential final against Slovakia or the Republic of Ireland in November.

Netherlands's Memphis Depay in action with Poland's Kamil Glik in the UEFA Nations League on September 4, 2020© Reuters

Poland, meanwhile, suffered a defeat in their 2020-21 UEFA Nations League opener on Friday night, losing 1-0 to the Netherlands in Amsterdam courtesy of a strike from Steven Bergwijn.

Without star forward and captain Robert Lewandowski, the visitors found it difficult to make their mark, meaning that there is huge pressure on them to pick up a positive result in their second game in the section.

Poland, though, have also already qualified for next summer's European Championships, winning eight of their 10 Group G matches to finish top of the section.

Jerzy Brzeczek's side are yet to win a UEFA Nations League game, though, losing three and drawing two of their five previous matches, with four of those encounters taking place in the 2018-19 edition.

Bosnia-Herzegovina Nations League form: WWWDD
Bosnia-Herzegovina form (all competitions): LWLLWD

Poland Nations League form: DLLDL
Poland form (all competitions): DWWWWL


Team News

Bayern Munich striker Robert Lewandowski celebrates winning the Champions League on August 23, 2020© Reuters

Roma forward Dzeko will again lead the line for Bosnia, and the 34-year-old will be full of confidence, having scored his 59th international goal against Italy on Friday night.

Edin Visca is the second leading goalscorer in the squad with 10 goals and should keep his spot in attack, while Armin Hodzic and Amer Gojak are also likely to retain their positions in the final third.

Arsenal's Sead Kolasinac was in the starting XI against Italy last time out, but Everton midfielder Muhamed Besic and Bournemouth's Asmir Begovic were both on the bench.

As for Poland, the main talking point is again the absence of Bayern Munich's Lewandowski as the centre-forward has been given an extended rest following the Champions League final.

Lewandowski scored 55 times in 47 appearances for his treble-winning club last term, while he has netted 61 goals in 112 outings for his national side, which is an indication of his importance.

Krzysztof Piatek started through the middle against the Netherlands and that is again expected to be case here, with Piotr Zielinski and Sebastian Szymanski providing support from attacking areas.

Leeds United's Mateusz Klich could retain his spot in midfield, while Juventus goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny and Southampton's Jan Bednarek will feature in the starting XI.

Bosnia-Herzegovina possible starting lineup:
Sehic; Cipetic, Sunjic, Sanicanin, Kolasinac; Cimirot, Hadziahmetovic; Visca, Gojak, Hodzic; Dzeko

Poland possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Kedziora, Glik, Bednarek, Bereszynski; Szymanski, Klich, Krychowiak, Jozwiak; Zielinski; Piatek


SM words green background

We say: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-1 Poland

Poland will be determined to get off the mark in terms of points in this group, and we fancy the visitors to pick up a share of the spoils on Monday night despite the fact that Bosnia will be full of confidence.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:-


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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Poland had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Monday's UEFA Nations League clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Poland?

Bosnia-Herzegovina
100%
Draw
0.0%
Poland
0.0%
1
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League A1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal642014
Q Croatia Croatia62228
3 Scotland flag Scotland62137
4 Poland Poland61144

League A2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France641113
Q Italy Italy641113
3 Belgium Belgium61144
4 Israel Israel61144

League A3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany642014
Q Netherlands Netherlands62319
3 Hungary Hungary61326
4 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina60242

League A4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain651016
Q Denmark Denmark62228
3 Serbia Serbia61326
4 Switzerland Switzerland60242

League B1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic632111
2 Ukraine Ukraine62228
3 Georgia Georgia62137
4 Albania national flag Albania62137

League B2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England650115
2 Greece Greece650115
3 Ireland Rep. Ireland62046
4 Finland Finland60060

League B3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Norway Norway641113
2 Austria Austria632111
3 Slovenia Slovenia62228
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan60151

League B4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Wales flag Wales633012
2 Turkey Turkey632111
3 Iceland Iceland62137
4 Montenegro Montenegro61053

League C1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Sweden Sweden651016
2 Slovakia Slovakia641113
3 Estonia Estonia61144
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan60151

League C2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania550015
2 Kosovo flag Kosovo540112
3 Cyprus Cyprus62046
4 Lithuania Lithuania60060

League C3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland632111
2 Bulgaria Bulgaria62319
3 Belarus Belarus61417
4 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg60333

League C4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Macedonia N. Macedonia651016
2 Armenia Armenia62137
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands61326
4 Latvia Latvia61144

League D1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q San Marino flag San Marino42117
2 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar41306
3 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein40222

League D2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Republic of Moldova Moldova43019
2 Malta flag Malta42117
3 Andorra flag Andorra40131


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