Copa Sudamericana
Oct 14, 2026 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Milton Delgado 8' yellowcard
  • goal Adson 25'
  • yellowcard Adson 44'
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 51'
  • yellowcard Andrés Gómez 63'
  • redcard Andrés Gómez 64'

Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.25% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Boca Juniors 52.86%
Draw 26.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Vasco da Gama 20.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 30.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 43.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.18%
Under 4.5 87.82%

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 36.06%
Draw 45.28%
Vasco da Gama 18.66%

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 55.78% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 9.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Vasco da Gama 35.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 45.7%
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 42.8%
Over 9 35.03%
Equal 9 10.68%
Under 9 54.3%
Over 10.5 25.86%
Under 10.5 74.14%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 44.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 80.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.12%
Under 3.5 92.88%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 53.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 46.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 79.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 5.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 94.01% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 52.86%
Draw 26.24%
Vasco da Gama 20.81%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.23% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 52.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.24%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.38%
0-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 20.81%