Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Rafa Silva 6' goal
  • Daniel Banjaqui 42' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 60' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Prestianni 67' goal
  • Georgiy Sudakov 90' goal
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 27'
  • goal Leo Bengtsson 72'

Benfica vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.33% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%) , while for a Lech Poznan win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 66.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 19.33%
Lech Poznan 14.57% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 18.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 60.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 25.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 74.45% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Benfica 50.32%
Draw 33.26%
Lech Poznan 16.43%

Team To Score First

Benfica 66.28% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Lech Poznan 29.25%

Corners

Over 8 72.91%
Equal 8 9.22%
Under 8 17.87%
Over 9 62.24%
Equal 9 10.67%
Under 9 27.09%
Over 10.5 50.96%
Under 10.5 49.04%

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 63.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 36.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 37.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 62.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 18.13%
Under 3.5 81.87%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 49.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 50.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.67%
Under 3.5 98.33%

Score analysis

Benfica 66.08%
Draw 19.33%
Lech Poznan 14.58%
Benfica
2-0 @ 10.33%
1-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.67%
3-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 17.96%
Total : 66.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.72%
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.33%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 4.1%
0-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 14.58%

Head to Head

Europa League
Dec 3, 2020 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jan Vertonghen 36' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 57' goal
  • Pizzi 58' goal
  • Julian Weigl 89' goal
  • yellowcard Nika Katcharava 2'
  • yellowcard Filip Marchwinski 72'
Europa League
Oct 22, 2020 5.55pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT INEA stadion
  • Mikael Ishak 15' goal
  • Dorde Crnomarkovic 17' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ishak 49' goal
  • Karlo Muhar 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Pizzi 9'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 42'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 60'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 90'+3'