Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MKK-Dnepr would win this match.