Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Neman had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MKK-Dnepr in this match.