Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.