Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 4

Apr 12, 2025 at 2pm UK

Borisov Arena (Barysaw (Borisov))

Torpedo-BelAZ
2 - 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Sukurov (50', 50'), Frantsuzov (72' og., 72' og.)
Glushchenkov (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Frantsuzov (43', 43')
Vlasenko (65'), Olimzoda (90'), Olimzoda (90+1')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Torpedo-BelAZ and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torpedo-BelAZ

All competitions

Last Game: Slutsk 0-0 Torpedo-BelAZ
Friday, April 4 at 3.15pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1-1 Smorgon
Sunday, April 6 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.25%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.

Result
Torpedo-BelAZ	Draw	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
57.36% ( 0.01)	26.57% ( 0)	16.07% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 36.1% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.01% (

-0.03)

64.98% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.12% (

-0.02)

83.88% (

0.02)

Torpedo-BelAZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-0.01)

23.1% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

-0.01)

56.95% (

0.01)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.95% (

-0.04)

53.05% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.32% (

-0.03)

86.68% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Torpedo-BelAZ 57.35%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 16.07%

Draw 26.56%

Torpedo-BelAZ	Draw	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 17.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.35%	0-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 16.07%