Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.