Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.