Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.52%), while for a Gomel win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.