Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 5

Apr 19, 2025 at 1.45pm UK

City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 - 3
Neman

Kirilenko (35'), Senko (58')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Chatelin Gweth (8'), Pushnyakov (19'), Zubovich (84')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Neman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions

Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 2-1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Saturday, April 12 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Neman

All competitions

Last Game: Neman 2-1 Slutsk
Friday, April 11 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Neman
22.61% ( 0.5)	28.08% ( 0.39)	49.31% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 41.16% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.63% (

-0.8)

63.37% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.27% (

-0.58)

82.73% (

0.58)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.64% (

0.05)

44.36% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.58% (

0.04)

80.42% (

-0.03)

Neman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98% (

-0.78)

26.02% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.95% (

-1.07)

61.05% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 22.61%

Neman 49.31%

Draw 28.08%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Neman
1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.61%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 15.54% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 10.46% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 49.31%