Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.