Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.22%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.