Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MKK-Dnepr would win this match.