Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.