Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.