Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Isloch in this match.