Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.