Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MKK-Dnepr would win this match.