Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.