Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.19%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 1-0 (12.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.