Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.