Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.