Having dumped out Real Madrid in the previous round, Athletic Bilbao will aim to take one more step towards the final when they welcome Valencia to San Mames for the first leg of their semi-final on Thursday night.
Meanwhile, the visitors arrive in the final four having eked out a narrow 2-1 win against Cadiz in the quarter-finals at the Mestalla Stadium.
Match preview
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Successfully gaining revenge on Real Madrid following their Super Cup heartache at the hands of Los Blancos, a full-strength Athletic Bilbao side got the job done over Carlo Ancelotti's men in the quarter-finals courtesy of a 1-0 scoreline.
With 89 minutes on the clock, substitute Alex Berenguer notched the only goal of the encounter to propel his side into the final four of the competition, with Athletic also ending Barcelona's Copa del Rey defence amid an eye-catching tournament run so far.
A 16-minute flurry of goals also saw Athletic warm up for the first leg of their semi-final with a 2-1 La Liga win over Espanyol thanks to strikes from Oihan Sancet and Inigo Martinez, meaning that Marcelino's men arrive in the semi-finals having won their last four in all competitions.
Three of those victories have come at their San Mames headquarters as Athletic finally seek to right the wrongs of the 2019-20 and 2020-21 Copa del Reys - during which they finished as runners-up on both occasions - and an inconsistent Valencia may have their work cut out for them here.
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While Athletic Bilbao have been busy knocking Barcelona and Real Madrid out of the Copa del Rey, Valencia were handed a scare against Cadiz in the quarter-finals but ultimately progressed thanks to Goncalo Guedes's and Hugo Duro's strikes against their 10-man visitors.
Results have been going the way of the Mestalla outfit in the Copa del Rey, but Valencia continue to falter in league action and were forced to accept a point in a goalless stalemate with Real Sociedad on Sunday - their fifth La Liga game without a win amid a downward slump in the division.
As Pepe Bordalas's side remain in mid-table obscurity in the top flight, a shot at silverware in the form of the Copa del Rey - a trophy that has eluded them for only three years - will be welcomed with open arms, as the eight-time winners seek to channel the spirits of the 2018-19 heroes who sunk Barcelona in the final.
One saving grace for Valencia is the fact that six of their last eight matches in all competitions have ended in victory - including four of their Copa del Rey ties so far this term - and they did hold Athletic to a 1-1 draw at Mestalla in La Liga back in September.
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Team News
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Athletic lost Nico Williams to a hamstring injury in the win over Real Madrid, and the youthful attacker is not expected to return to the fold for at least four weeks.
Williams is joined on the sidelines by Unai Vencedor, although the 21-year-old midfielder is close to returning from a similar issue and may push for a place here.
Marcelino may be forced into some alterations given the relatively quick turnaround, as Inaki Williams, Iker Muniain and Oscar de Marcos prepare to return to the XI.
As for Valencia, Hugo Guillamon broke his nose in the draw with Sociedad but may be cleared to play with a mask after surgery, but Gabriel Paulista is still a few weeks away from returning from a hamstring issue.
Goalkeeper Jasper Cillessen may not be ready to pull on the gloves just yet either, and Bordalas should be able to welcome Mouctar Diakhaby and Omar Alderete back to the fold after their recent absences.
It would not be a shock to see Bordalas opt for the same backline which kept a well-earned clean sheet in the draw with Sociedad, but Tottenham Hotspur loanee Bryan Gil will expect another start out wide.
Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; De Marcos, Alvarez, Martinez, Berchiche; Berenguer, Vesga, D. Garcia, Muniain; Sancet, Williams
Valencia possible starting lineup:
Mamardashvili; Correia, Diakhaby, Comert, Gaya; Foulquier, Soler, Moriba, Gil; Guedes, Duro
We say: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Valencia
Athletic ought to feel capable of going all the way in the Copa del Rey given the calibre of opponents they have already overcome, and Marcelino remains blessed with a near fully-fit squad.
Valencia's inconsistent patch will likely see them concede a narrow first-leg advantage to the hosts, leaving Bordalas's side with it all to do in the second leg.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
