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[monks data]
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Louis II
Nantes

Monaco
2 - 1
Nantes

Diop (5'), Geubbels (65')
Diop (7'), Tchouameni (11'), Geubbels (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Blas (61')
Toure (9')

Preview: Monaco vs. Nantes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Nantes, including team news and predicted lineups.

Monaco and Nantes will both be aiming to secure their second Ligue 1 victory on the bounce when the two sides lock horns on Sunday afternoon at the Stade Louis II.

Monaco enjoyed a 1-0 victory over Metz in the most recent round of fixtures, while Nantes overcame Nimes 2-1 last time out.


Match preview

Bayern Munich manager Niko Kovac pictured on March 2, 2019© Reuters

Despite the formidable front three of Gelson Martins, Wissam Ben Yedder and Henry Onyekuru at Monaco, Niko Kovac has been indebted to his young defenders in the early stages of the 2020-21 campaign.

Axel Disasi and Benoit Badiashile both netted in Monaco's 2-2 draw with Reims on the opening weekend, and the latter chalked up his second goal in as many matches to set Les Monegasques on their way to victory against Metz in gameweek two.

Monaco cannot rely on their highly-rated centre-back pairing to bail them out in every match, but there is every reason to be excited about the future given Disasi's and Badiashile's performances thus far.

A ninth-placed standing was a hugely disappointing end to the most recent campaign for the 2016-17 champions, but a European berth is firmly in Monaco's sights this time around.

With the fixture list having been disrupted by European ventures and the coronavirus pandemic, Monaco took part in a friendly match with fellow Ligue 1 outfit Nice last Friday, and Kovac's men triumphed in a five-goal thriller by three goals to two in that encounter.

Nantes manager Christian Gourcuff pictured in December 2019© Reuters

Like their opponents, Nantes also recorded a narrow victory of their own in the second round of fixtures as they came up trumps in a hotly-contested clash with Nimes.

Christian Gourcuff's men managed to hold on to a 2-1 lead despite finishing the game with nine players, with Imran Louza given his marching orders after netting his side's second before Fabio also saw red late on.

Nantes's victory against Nimes was their first on home soil in the French top flight since the turn of the year, and La Maison Jaune will certainly be eyeing a top-half finish this time around after placing 13th in the curtailed 2019-20 campaign.

However, Nantes have lost their last four meetings with Monaco and have only managed to triumph against their opponents once in their last 14 encounters - a run stretching all the way back to when both clubs plied their trade in Ligue 2.

Monaco Ligue 1 form: DW

Nantes Ligue 1 form: DW


Team News

Monaco's Wissam Ben Yedder in action with Paris Saint-Germain's Thiago Silva on January 12, 2020© Reuters

Kovac will be without two of the midfield three who started in the victory over Metz, with Youssouf Fofana seeing red and Aleksandr Golovin being forced off through injury after just 16 minutes.

Cesc Fabregas and Jean-Eudes Aholou are likely contenders to deputise in the middle of the park, while Sofiane Diop is also an option for Kovac.

Ben Yedder's place up top could be under threat with the recent arrival of Kevin Volland from Bayer Leverkusen, while Stevan Jovetic will be hoping to get some minutes on the board as well.

Nantes have two suspensions of their own to contend with following Louza's and Fabio's red cards, meaning Mehdi Abeid and Charles Traore could come back into the fold, although the latter is nursing a thigh problem.

Captain Abdoulaye Toure has also fully recovered from coronavirus but may not be thrown straight back into the first XI.

However, Gourcuff has confirmed that winger Marcus Coco will miss this one out, while Anthony Limbombe also remains on the treatment table.

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Lecomte; Aguilar, Badiashile, Disasi, Sidibe; Aholou, Fabregas, Tchouameni; Martins, Ben Yedder, Onyekuru

Nantes possible starting lineup:
Lafont; Appiah, Pallois, Girotto, Traore; Chirivella, Abeid; Bamba, Blas, Simon; Coulibaly


SM words green background

We say: Monaco 2-1 Nantes

Monaco's front three must begin firing on all cylinders soon if Kovac's side are to keep their promising run of form going, but Nantes have lost some key players to injury and suspension ahead of the weekend showdown, so we are backing the hosts to come out on top in what should be an entertaining spectacle in gameweek three.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Nantes?

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Draw
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Nantes
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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