World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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Benjamin Maria
81'
-
Benjamin Maria
81'
-
Fernando Lewis
90'+4'
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Fernando Lewis
90'+4'
-
Juninho Bacuna
58'
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Juninho Bacuna
58'
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Xander Severina
90'+6'
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Xander Severina
90'+6'
Aruba vs Curacao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 81.23%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 6.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.49%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result
Aruba
81.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
11.96%
▲
(+0.04)
Curacao
6.81%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
51.14%
▼
(-0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
72%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 2.5
28%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 3.5
51.26%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 3.5
48.74%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 4.5
31.9%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 4.5
68.1%
▲
(+0.58)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5
94.8%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
5.2%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
79.43%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
20.57%
▲
(+0.27)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5
53.95%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 0.5
46.05%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 1.5
18.24%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 1.5
81.76%
▲
(+0.45)
Score analysis
Aruba
81.22%
Draw
11.96%
Curacao
6.81%
Aruba
2-0
@
10.46%
▲
(+0.20)
3-0 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 8% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.03%
Total : 81.22%
3-0 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 8% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.03%
Total : 81.22%
Draw
1-1
@
5.49%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 11.96%
2-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 11.96%
Curacao
1-2
@
2.13%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 6.81%
0-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 6.81%