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Leicester logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Arsenal logo
Leicester
0 - 2
Arsenal
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fuchs (57' og.), Nketiah (90')
Elneny (13')

Preview: Leicester City vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round tie between Leicester City and Arsenal, including team news and predicted lineups.

Leicester City and Arsenal face off in the pick of the EFL Cup third-round ties at the King Power Stadium on Wednesday evening.

The winner of the all-Premier League affair will take on either Lincoln City or Liverpool next week for a place in the quarter-finals.


Match preview

Arsenal forward Eddie Nketiah celebrates scoring against West Ham United on September 19, 2020© Reuters

Leicester and Arsenal have both made impressive starts to their Premier League campaigns by winning two games from two.

The Foxes, who somehow missed out on a top-four finish last season after badly drifting away, have defeated West Bromwich Albion and Burnley to top the table.

Arsenal have seen off Fulham and West Ham United in their opening two fixtures, meanwhile, having also edged out Liverpool on penalties in the Community Shield.

Mikel Arteta's side required a late Eddie Nketiah goal to shake off West Ham, while Leicester recovered from a goal down to overcome Burnley at the weekend.

Focus now switches to the domestic cup and the chance to continue building some momentum in the opening month of a campaign unlike any other.

This will be just the third time Leicester and Arsenal have met in the EFL Cup, sharing a win apiece in those previous two encounters.

Leicester City's Dennis Praet celebrates scoring against Burnley in the Premier League on September 20, 2020© Reuters

Avoiding defeat at Leicester is not something Arsenal have done a lot of in recent times, though, losing each of their last three games at the King Power Stadium in all competitions.

The Foxes have lost just one of their last 14 games in the competition, meanwhile, in a run that has seen them reach at least the quarter-finals in each of the last three campaigns.

That is an impressive record, but one that Arsenal can better - they have progressed past this stage of the EFL Cup in 16 of the last 17 seasons, failing only in 2014-15 against Southampton.

Arteta has already won two trophies in his nine months in North London, though it remains to be seen just how seriously he will take the EFL Cup, with a trip to Premier League champions Liverpool to come next weekend.

Similarly, Leicester face a tricky trip to Manchester City four days after this showdown with Arsenal, so Brendan Rodgers will likely rotate his squad between matches.

If that is the case, it could well come down to who boasts the better squad depth between these two in-form sides.

Leicester City form (all competitions): WW

Arsenal form (all competitions): WWW


Team News

Arsenal's Mesut Ozil in action on February 27, 2020© Reuters

Mesut Ozil has not been part of Arsenal's matchday squad for their first two games back, but the playmaker is not carrying an injury and may be in Arteta's thoughts here.

Arteta has plenty of other attacking options, however, including the likes of Nicolas Pepe, Joe Willock and Nketiah, who deserves a start after his late winner versus West Ham.

Dijon goalkeeper Runar Alex Runarsson has been tipped to join ahead of Wednesday's match and could be in line for a swift debut, but Matt Macey is otherwise standing by.

Leicester confirmed the arrival of Cengiz Under from Roma on Sunday and he could make his first appearance in this one, though Demarai Gray and Marc Albrighton are also pushing for starts.

Kelechi Iheanacho, another who will be keen to get the nod, has been involved in 11 goals in 14 EFL Cup appearances for the Foxes.

Jonny Evans is still not available for the hosts, so a combination of Wes Morgan and Caglar Soyuncu is likely at the back.

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Ward; Justin, Morgan, Soyuncu, Thomas; Choudhury, Mendy; Gray, Maddison, Albrighton; Iheanacho

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Macey; Cedric, Saliba, Luiz, Holding, Kolasinac; Elneny, Guendouzi; Pepe, Nketiah, Saka


SM words green background

We say: Leicester City 1-2 Arsenal

Arsenal are winless in their last three games against Leicester and have lost three in a row at the King Power Stadium.

However, with both teams expected to rotate for this midweek cup tie, we can see the Gunners' squad depth telling in a narrow away victory.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.


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Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers pictured on July 1, 2020
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