Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.