Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 34.85%. A win for Platense had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 2-1 (6.44%). The likeliest Platense win was 0-1 (14.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.