Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Aug 8, 2026 11.15pm
Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 11.00pm
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Estudiantes
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel 

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 3, 2026 11.00pm
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Independiente
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46%. A draw has a probability of 30.39% and a win for Velez Sarsfield has a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.79%) , while for a Velez Sarsfield win it is 0-1 (10.51%).

Result

Boca Juniors 46% (-2.00)
Draw 30.39% (+0.34)
Velez Sarsfield 23.64% (+1.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.45% (+0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.16% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 40.84% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 31.76% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 68.24% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 14.11% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 85.89% (-0.55)
Over 4.5 6.83% (+0.30)
Under 4.5 93.17% (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 34.71% (-1.83)
Draw 48.96% (+1.11)
Velez Sarsfield 16.33% (+0.74)

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 54.8% (-3.23)
No Goal 13.79% (+0.05)
Velez Sarsfield 31.41% (+3.18)

Corners

Over 8 56.72% (+0.65)
Equal 8 11.86% (-0.06)
Under 8 31.41% (-0.62)
Over 9 44.72% (+0.63)
Equal 9 12% (+0.02)
Under 9 43.28% (-0.65)
Over 10.5 33.62% (+0.58)
Under 10.5 66.38% (-0.58)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 33.23% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 66.77% (+1.00)
Over 2.5 11.78% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 88.22% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 3.45% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 96.55% (+0.18)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 53.12% (+1.66)
Under 0.5 46.88% (-1.66)
Over 1.5 17.63% (+1.40)
Under 1.5 82.37% (-1.40)
Over 2.5 4.04% (+0.71)
Under 2.5 95.96% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 0.85% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 99.15% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 46.01%
Draw 30.4%
Velez Sarsfield 23.63%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 16.58% (-0.71)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.42)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.32)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.40)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.56% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.44% (-0.19)
Total : 46.01%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.79% (+0.05)
1-1 @ 13.66% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 2.81% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.4%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 10.51% (+0.43)
1-2 @ 5.08% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 4.14% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 1.36% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.84% (+0.22)
Total : 23.63%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 9, 2026 1.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Matias Pellegrini 63' goal
  • Matías Pellegrini 63' goal
  • Matias Pellegrini 66' goal
  • Matías Pellegrini 66' goal
  • Lucas Robertone 78' yellowcard
  • Dilan Godoy 79' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 84' yellowcard
  • Alex Zahir Verón 84' yellowcard
  • Á. Verón 84' yellowcard
  • Aaron Quiroz 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Aarón Quirós 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iker Zufiaurre 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Ángel Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Tomás Aranda 73'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 73'
  • goal Iker Zufiaurre 90'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 14, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Ezequiel Fernandez 40' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 61' goal
  • Cristian Lema 65' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Blanco 71' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 90'+1' redcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Christian Ordonez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 90'+4'
  • redcard Santiago Caseres 90'+12'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Lucas Janson 66' goal
  • goal Luca Langoni 32'
  • goal Nicolas Figal 87'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 22
Oct 2, 2022 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Javier Morales 79' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Maximo Perrone 22' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 38'
Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 25, 2021 12.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Federico Mancuello 39' goal
  • Agustin Bouzat 59' yellowcard
  • Matias de los Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Cristian Tarragona 90' goal
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 69'