Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Aug 8, 2026 11.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó
  • Lautaro Blanco 36' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacíbar 39' goal
  • Ayrton Costa 44' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Valdés 12'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 42'
  • yellowcard Elías Gómez 54'
  • yellowcard Matías Pellegrini 60'
  • yellowcard Joaquín García 88'

Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 11.00pm
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Estudiantes
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel 

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 3, 2026 11.00pm
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Independiente
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.37%. A draw had a probability of 29.83% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.52%) , while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result

Boca Juniors 48.37% (+0.03)
Draw 29.83% (+0.02)
Velez Sarsfield 21.8% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.07% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.31% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 40.69% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 31.77% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 68.23% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 13.84% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 86.16% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 6.76% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 93.24% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 35.99% (+0.15)
Draw 48.12% (-0.13)
Velez Sarsfield 15.89% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 55.84% (+0.07)
No Goal 13.52% (+0.01)
Velez Sarsfield 30.64% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 54.47% (-0.07)
Equal 8 12.02% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.51% (+0.04)
Over 9 42.53% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.94% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.53% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 31.67% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 68.33% (+0.07)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 34.62% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.38% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.42% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.58% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.69% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.31% (+0.02)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 51.41% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 48.59% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 16.31% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 83.69% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 3.45% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.55% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.69% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.31% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 48.37%
Draw 29.84%
Velez Sarsfield 21.81%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 17.31% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.22% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52%
3-0 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.68% (-0.03)
Total : 48.37%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.52% (+0.01)
1-1 @ 13.5% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.84%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.78%
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.68% (-0.01)
Total : 21.81%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 9, 2026 1.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Matias Pellegrini 63' goal
  • Matías Pellegrini 63' goal
  • Matias Pellegrini 66' goal
  • Matías Pellegrini 66' goal
  • Lucas Robertone 78' yellowcard
  • Dilan Godoy 79' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 84' yellowcard
  • Alex Zahir Verón 84' yellowcard
  • Á. Verón 84' yellowcard
  • Aaron Quiroz 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Aarón Quirós 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iker Zufiaurre 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Ángel Romero 61'
  • yellowcard Tomás Aranda 73'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 73'
  • goal Iker Zufiaurre 90'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 14, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Ezequiel Fernandez 40' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 61' goal
  • Cristian Lema 65' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Blanco 71' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 90'+1' redcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Christian Ordonez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 90'+4'
  • redcard Santiago Caseres 90'+12'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Lucas Janson 66' goal
  • goal Luca Langoni 32'
  • goal Nicolas Figal 87'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 22
Oct 2, 2022 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Javier Morales 79' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Maximo Perrone 22' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 38'
Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 25, 2021 12.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Federico Mancuello 39' goal
  • Agustin Bouzat 59' yellowcard
  • Matias de los Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Cristian Tarragona 90' goal
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 69'