Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.