Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.36%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.