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Alanyaspor
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 at 4pm UK
Alanya Oba Stadium

Alanyaspor
2 - 5
Fenerbahce

Bingol (53', 67')
Awaziem (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rossi (26'), Ozil (50' pen.), Guler (78'), Pelkas (90'), Berisha (90+4')
Dursun (61'), Pelkas (87')

Preview: Alanyaspor vs. Fenerbahce - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Alanyaspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Alanyaspor sit in fifth position and with just a single point separating them from Sunday's opponents, their contest against Fenerbahce could prove crucial in the race for European qualification.

Meanwhile, the visitors currently occupy fourth spot, and they will be looking to extend their unbeaten league run to five matches on Sunday.


Match preview

Fenerbahce's Miha Zajc celebrates scoring their first goal with Mergim Berisha and team members on March 6, 2022© Reuters

Having lost just once in their last 10 league matches, Alanyaspor will carry momentum into Sunday's home meeting with Fenerbahce.

The home side can leapfrog their opponents and move into the top four with a victory, as they look to qualify for European competition.

After thrashing Konyaspor and beating Gaziantep in the Turkish Cup quarter finals, Alanyaspor faced Kayserispor in an away contest last time out.

Despite falling behind in the 34th minute, Oguz Aydin levelled for Alanyaspor before the break, and with the encounter drifting to a draw, substitute Erencan Yardimci came up trumps to help the visitors claim a 2-1 victory.

Francesco Farioli's side will be confident that they can trouble Fenerbahce, especially as no Super Lig side has scored more home goals than Alanyaspor (29) this season.

Fenerbahce coach Ismail Kartal before the match on March 6, 2022© Reuters

The visitors are unbeaten in their last four league matches, but they did see a run of three consecutive Super Lig victories come to an end in their most recent outing.

Fenerbahce knew they would face a tough encounter as they welcomed league leaders Trabzonspor to Ulker Stadium, and their task was made even trickier when Irfan Can Kahveci was given his marching orders in the 17th minute.

Trabzonspor took advantage five minutes later to take the lead, but Fenerbahce showed great resilience to clinch a point thanks to Miha Zajc's 71st-minute equaliser.

Sunday's visitors carry the third joint-best away record in the Super Lig into the contest, while they are also undefeated in their previous five league encounters.

Fenerbahce will also be encouraged by their impressive goal scoring form this season, having failed to score in just two of their 28 league matches.

Alanyaspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Alanyaspor form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Fenerbahce Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Fenerbahce form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Fenerbahce's Mesut Ozil pictured on November 21, 2021© Reuters

Wilson Eduardo, Daniel Candeias and Fatih Aksoy are all expected to be absent for the hosts due to injury issues.

Juanfran, Emre Akbaba, Joao Novais and Furkan Bayir could all come into the starting lineup after dropping down to the bench for the victory over Kayserispor.

Despite scoring the winner last time out, Yardimci may have to settle for a place on the bench once again for Sunday's contest.

Meanwhile, Fenerbahce are without the injured quartet of Enner Valencia, Ferdi Kadioglu, Luis Gustavo and Filip Novak.

Kahveci and Mert Hakan Yandas will also miss out as they serve their respective suspension periods.

Mesut Ozil came off the bench in the draw against Trabzonspor to make his return from injury and the former Arsenal man could be given a starting place for Sunday's encounter.

Alanyaspor possible starting lineup:
Marafona; Juanfran, Bayir, Milunovic, Bingol; Karaca, Gunes, Novais, Akbaba, Bekiroglu; Aydin

Fenerbahce possible starting lineup:
Bayindir; Osayi-Samuel, Szalai, Kim, Aziz; Zajc, Crespo; Ozil, Tufan, Rossi; Dursun


SM words green background

We say: Alanyaspor 1-1 Fenerbahce

With both sides faring well in recent games and with neither team wanting to give up ground in the race for the European places, we think a cagey contest on Sunday could end with the spoils being shared.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Alanyaspor vs Fenerbahce

Alanyaspor
37.5%
Draw
31.3%
Fenerbahce
31.3%
16
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray33293177215690
2Fenerbahce33275187305786
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor331741256431355
4BesiktasBesiktas33156124438651
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul33147124438649
6Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor33146134349-648
7KasimpasaKasimpasa33137135559-446
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor331112103838045
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor331112104346-345
10SivassporSivasspor331112104045-545
11Adana Demirspor33914104944541
12Samsunspor33109143743-639
13AnkaragucuAnkaragucu33813124043-337
14KayserisporKayserispor331010133747-1037
15KonyasporKonyaspor33812133447-1336
16GaziantepGaziantep3397173750-1334
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3389163742-533
18Hatayspor33712143746-933
19Pendikspor3379173768-3130
RIstanbulspor3347222661-3516


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