Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 4
Nov 17, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah

Niger vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 4.00pm
Niger 2 - 1 Lesotho

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Morocco 2 - 0 Gabon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morocco win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw has a probability of 21.53% and a win for Niger has a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.65%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.24%) , while for a Niger win it is 1-0 (5.65%).

Result

Niger 14.58% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 21.53% ▼ (-0.45)
Morocco 63.89% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.31% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.88% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 26.12% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 2.5 48.69% ▲ (+1.20)
Under 2.5 51.31% ▼ (-1.20)
Over 3.5 27.53% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 3.5 72.43% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 4.5 17.09% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 4.5 82.91% ▼ (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Niger 13.77% ▲ (+0.74)
Draw 40.72% ▼ (-0.40)
Morocco 45.51% ▼ (-0.35)

Team To Score First

Niger 26.21% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 7.39% ▼ (-0.38)
Morocco 66.4% ▲ (+0.44)

Corners

Over 8 42.38% ▲ (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.05% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 46.57% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 9 32.36% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 9 10.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 57.62% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 10.5 23.95% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 10.5 76.05% ▼ (-0.19)

Niger Goals

Over 1.5 15.64% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 1.5 84.36% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 2.5 3.36% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 96.64% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 0.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 99.2% ▼ (-0.05)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 83.61% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 0.5 16.39% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 1.5 55.57% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 1.5 44.43% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 2.5 28.72% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 2.5 71.28% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 3.5 12.26% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 87.74% ▼ (-0.22)

Score analysis

Niger 14.58%
Draw 21.54%
Morocco 63.89%
Niger
1-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.79% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 14.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.20)
0-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.54%
Morocco
0-1 @ 13.09% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 12.65% ▼ (-0.27)
1-2 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.26)
0-3 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 12.25% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 63.89%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 13, 2026 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Mohamed V
  • Yassir Zabiri 4' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 27' goal
  • Bilal El Khannouss 38' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 45'+3' goal
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 77' goal
  • Ayoub Oufkir 90' goal
  • yellowcard Camara Aboubacar 32'
  • goal Mohamed Abdouramane 41'
  • yellowcard Kairou Amoustapha 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ousseni Badamassi 63'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2025 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
  • Ismael Saibari 29' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 38' goal
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 51' goal
  • Hamza Igamane 69' goal
  • Azzedine Ounahi 84' goal
  • yellowcard Abdoul-Latif Djibril Goumey 14'
  • redcard Abdoul-Latif Djibril Goumey 26'
  • yellowcard Ousseni Badamassi 89'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Goumey 89'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 21, 2025 9.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Municipal
  • Youssouf Oumarou 8' yellowcard
  • Youssouf Oumarou 8' yellowcard
  • Youssouf Oumarou 47' goal
  • Daniel Sosah 88' yellowcard
  • Kairou Amoustapha 89' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ismael Saibari 59'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 66'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 88'
  • goal Bilal El Khannous 90'+1'
International Friendlies
Sep 10, 2019 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Marrakech (Marrakech)
  • Walid El Karti 21' goal