Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 13, 2026 7.00pm
Cairo International Stadium

Egypt vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Egypt 0 - 0 Angola

Malawi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Malawi 2 - 1 South Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Egypt win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw has a probability of 23.91% and a win for Malawi has a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.99%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (10.92%) , while for a Malawi win it is 0-1 (6.04%).

Result

Egypt 63.66% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 23.91% ▲ (+0.11)
Malawi 12.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.65% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 34.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 39.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 60.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 18.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 81.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.67% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Egypt 45.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Malawi 12.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Egypt 66.29% ▼ (-0.40)
No Goal 10.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Malawi 22.79% ▲ (+0.36)

Corners

Over 8 54.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 12.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 33.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 41.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 45.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 30.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 69.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Egypt Goals

Over 1.5 49.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5 41.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 58.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 10.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 89.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 1.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 98.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.19%
Under 3.5 99.81%

Score analysis

Egypt 63.66%
Draw 23.92%
Malawi 12.47%
Egypt
1-0 @ 17.38%
2-0 @ 13.99% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 63.66%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.92% ▲ (+0.03)
1-1 @ 10.61% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.92%
Malawi
0-1 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.29%
0-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.47%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • goal Tarek Hamed 4'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 16'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 20'
  • goal Ahmed Sayed 49'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mohamed Salah 20' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 45'+1' goal