Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 4
Nov 16, 2026 4.00pm

Central African Republic vs Benin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Mauritania 3 - 1 CAR

Benin

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Burkina Faso 1 - 1 Benin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benin win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Central African Republic has a probability of 31% and a draw has a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Central African Republic win is 1-0 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.39%).

Result

Central African Republic 31% ▲ (+0.56)
Draw 25.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Benin 43.19% ▼ (-0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.08% ▼ (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.47% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 29.53% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 47.05% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 52.95% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 26.55% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 73.45% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 15.32% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 4.5 84.68% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Central African Republic 21.92%
Draw 44.67%
Benin 33.41%

Team To Score First

Central African Republic 38.34% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 9.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Benin 52.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 39.13%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 49.61%
Over 9 29.21%
Equal 9 9.92%
Under 9 60.87%
Over 10.5 21.12%
Under 10.5 78.88%

Central African Republic Goals

Over 1.5 29.9% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 70.1% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 11.48% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 88.52% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 4.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.81% ▼ (-0.07)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5 71.04% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 0.5 28.96% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 1.5 38.96% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 1.5 61.04% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 2.5 17% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 83% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 5.77% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 94.23% ▲ (+0.25)

Score analysis

Central African Republic 31%
Draw 25.77%
Benin 43.18%
Central African Republic
1-0 @ 9% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.77%
Benin
0-1 @ 11.26% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 43.18%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny
  • Imourane Hassane 7' goal
  • Rodolfo Aloko 31' goal
  • Aiyegun Tosin 36' goal
  • Aiyegun Tosin 56' goal
  • goal Louis Mafouta 19'
  • yellowcard Hugo Gambor 42'