Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 7.00pm

Benin vs Central African Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Burkina Faso 1 - 1 Benin

Central African Republic

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Mauritania 3 - 1 CAR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benin win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Central African Republic has a probability of 30.28% and a draw has a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Central African Republic win is 0-1 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.27%).

Result

Benin 43.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 26.51%
Central African Republic 30.28% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.65% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 30.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 44.68% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 55.32% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 23.46% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 76.54% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 12.88% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.12% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Benin 26.03%
Draw 49.09%
Central African Republic 24.88%

Team To Score First

Benin 46.74% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 9.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Central African Republic 43.99% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 24.78%
Equal 8 9.64%
Under 8 65.58%
Over 9 17.37%
Equal 9 7.41%
Under 9 75.22%
Over 10.5 12.02%
Under 10.5 87.98%

Benin Goals

Over 1.5 37.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 62.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 61.81% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 38.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 28.13% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 71.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 9.7% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.11% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Benin 43.19%
Draw 26.52%
Central African Republic 30.27%
Benin
1-0 @ 11.77% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.65%
Total : 43.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.52%
Central African Republic
0-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.27%