Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kevin Lenini 37' yellowcard
  • Benchimol 40' goal
  • yellowcard Bonheur Mugisha 24'
  • goal Claude Niyomugabo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joy-Lance Mickels 51'
  • yellowcard Joy-Slayd Mickels 51'
  • goal Elie Iradukunda 52'
  • yellowcard Ange Mutsinzi 57'
  • yellowcard 58'

Cape Verde vs Rwanda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Mali 3 - 1 Cape Verde

Rwanda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Rwanda 3 - 1 Liberia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.54% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Cape Verde 63.85% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 22.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Rwanda 13.57% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.13% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 46.92%
Under 2.5 53.08%
Over 3.5 26.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.81%
Under 4.5 83.19%

First Half Winner

Cape Verde 49.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 41.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Rwanda 9.38%

Team To Score First

Cape Verde 72.1% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 9.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Rwanda 18.8%

Corners

Over 8 41.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 46.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 31.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 58.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 22.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 77.62% ▼ (-0.01)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 1.5 53.99% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 46.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 29.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 70.63% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 13.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 86.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5 43.12% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 56.88% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 13.15% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 86.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 3.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 96.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 0.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cape Verde 63.85%
Draw 22.53%
Rwanda 13.58%
Cape Verde
1-0 @ 14.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.25% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.63%
3-0 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 12.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 63.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 22.53%
Rwanda
0-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 13.58%