Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Intwari
  • Farès Chaïbi 5' goal
  • Jean Claude Girumugisha 12' goal
  • Henry Msanga 18' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Belloumi 30'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Belloumi 45'
  • goal Adil Boulbina 63'
  • yellowcard Ilan Kebbal 90'+3'

Burundi vs Algeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Togo 1 - 0 Burundi

Algeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Algeria 3 - 1 Zambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.02% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%) , while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Burundi 18.57%
Draw 22.02%
Algeria 59.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 53.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 46.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 29.18%
Under 3.5 70.82%
Over 4.5 17.97%
Under 4.5 82.03%

First Half Winner

Burundi 16.28%
Draw 43.17%
Algeria 40.55%

Team To Score First

Burundi 33.97%
No Goal 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Algeria 59.15% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 23.09%
Equal 8 9.31%
Under 8 67.6%
Over 9 16.06%
Equal 9 7.03%
Under 9 76.91%
Over 10.5 11.07%
Under 10.5 88.93%

Burundi Goals

Over 1.5 20.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.37%
Under 3.5 98.63%

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5 82.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 54.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 45.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 28.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 71.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 87.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Burundi 18.58%
Draw 22.02%
Algeria 59.42%
Burundi
1-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.38%
3-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 18.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41%
0-0 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.02%
Algeria
0-1 @ 11.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 10.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.9%
2-3 @ 2.51%
Other @ 12.2%
Total : 59.42%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jan 9, 2024 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Faisal Al-Husseini International Stadium
  • goal Baghdad Bounedjah 1'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 39'
  • yellowcard Mohamed El Amine Amoura 83'
  • goal Islam Slimani 87'
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 90'+3'
International Friendlies
Jun 16, 2021 8.45pm
International Friendlies
Jun 11, 2019 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Baghdad Bounedjah 68' goal
  • goal Rais M'Bolhi 75' (OG)