Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Kégué
  • Karim Dermane 17' goal
  • Kévin Boma 56' yellowcard
  • Sharani Zuberu 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christophe Nduwarugira 75'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Ndayishimiye 90'+2'

Togo vs Burundi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Togo

All competitions

Burundi

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.65% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%) , while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Togo 57.76%
Draw 24.65%
Burundi 17.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.49%
Under 1.5 28.51%
Over 2.5 47.38%
Under 2.5 52.62%
Over 3.5 25.67%
Under 3.5 74.33%
Over 4.5 15.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.69% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Togo 41.07%
Draw 42.37%
Burundi 16.56%

Team To Score First

Togo 60.91%
No Goal 9.14%
Burundi 29.95%

Corners

Over 8 13.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 5.68%
Under 8 80.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 9.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 3.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 86.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 7.28%
Under 10.5 92.72%

Togo Goals

Over 1.5 50.18%
Under 1.5 49.82%
Over 2.5 25.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5 49.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 50.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 17.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 82.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.13%
Under 2.5 94.87%
Over 3.5 1.24%
Under 3.5 98.76%

Score analysis

Togo 57.75%
Draw 24.66%
Burundi 17.61%
Togo
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.11%
3-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 57.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.66%
Burundi
0-1 @ 6.53%
1-2 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.29%
1-3 @ 1.25%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 17.61%