AFC Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 27, 2026 4.00pm
Al-Rashid Stadium

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Esteghlal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 5.00pm
Shabab Al-Ahli 1 - 0 Tractor Sazi

Esteghlal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 7.15pm
Esteghlal 3 - 0 Al-Sadd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Esteghlal has a probability of 25.55% and a draw has a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Esteghlal win is 0-1 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).

Result

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 49.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 25.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Esteghlal 25.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.41% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 71.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 16.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.66% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 37.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 40.04%
Esteghlal 22.9% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 54.4% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 7.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Esteghlal 38.48% ▲ (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 48.95% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 39.68% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 38.13% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 10.82%
Under 9 51.05% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 28.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 71.39% ▲ (+0.10)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals

Over 1.5 46.5% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 53.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 21.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.94% ▼ (-0.04)

Esteghlal Goals

Over 0.5 60.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 9.49%
Under 2.5 90.51%
Over 3.5 2.66%
Under 3.5 97.34%

Score analysis

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 49.36%
Draw 25.09%
Esteghlal 25.55%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1-0 @ 10.95% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 49.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.09%
Esteghlal
0-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 25.55%