AFC Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 4, 2026 10.00am
Steelyard Stadium

Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pohang Steelers

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 1.15pm
Beijing Guoan 2 - 1 Pohang Steelers

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 11.00am
Gamba Osaka 4 - 1 Công An Nhân Dân

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Pohang Steelers has a probability of 30.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Pohang Steelers win is 1-0 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result

Pohang Steelers 30.4% ▼ (-0.45)
Draw 25.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Gamba Osaka 43.85% ▲ (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.73% ▼ (-0.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.9% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 27.1% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 48.18% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 2.5 51.82% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 3.5 26.44% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 73.56% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 4.5 14.76% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 4.5 85.24% ▲ (+0.41)

First Half Winner

Pohang Steelers 25.38% ▲ (+0.42)
Draw 41.05% ▼ (-0.58)
Gamba Osaka 33.57% ▲ (+0.17)

Team To Score First

Pohang Steelers 42.79% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 7.82% ▲ (+0.23)
Gamba Osaka 49.39% ▼ (-0.36)

Corners

Over 8 55.32% ▲ (+0.42)
Equal 8 11.48% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 8 33.19% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 9 43.84% ▲ (+0.24)
Equal 9 11.48% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 9 44.68% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 10.5 33.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 66.71% ▼ (-0.06)

Pohang Steelers Goals

Over 1.5 29.9% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 1.5 70.1% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 2.5 10.76% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 89.24% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 3.04% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 96.96% ▲ (+0.27)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 73.61% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 26.39% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 41.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.51% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Pohang Steelers 30.4%
Draw 25.76%
Gamba Osaka 43.85%
Pohang Steelers
1-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.20)
Total : 30.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 25.76%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.4%
Total : 43.85%