AFC Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 28, 2026 10.00am
Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 11.00am
Gamba Osaka 4 - 1 Công An Nhân Dân

Buriram United

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 1.15pm
Johor Darul 1 - 0 Buriram Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Buriram United win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Gamba Osaka has a probability of 37.09% and a draw has a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win is 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.95%).

Result

Gamba Osaka 37.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 24.36%
Buriram United 38.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.16%
Under 2.5 46.81%
Over 3.5 31.14%
Under 3.5 68.86%
Over 4.5 18.41%
Under 4.5 81.59%

First Half Winner

Gamba Osaka 27.67%
Draw 37.28%
Buriram United 35.05%

Team To Score First

Gamba Osaka 43.73% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Buriram United 49.61%

Corners

Over 8 55.77%
Equal 8 10.99%
Under 8 33.23%
Over 9 44.74%
Equal 9 11.03%
Under 9 44.23%
Over 10.5 34.52%
Under 10.5 65.48%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 1.5 37.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 83.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5 69.87%
Under 0.5 30.13%
Over 1.5 39.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 37.08%
Draw 24.37%
Buriram United 38.54%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 37.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.37%
Buriram United
0-1 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.87%
Other @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.54%